Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.839562 0.943864 1.057496 1.190711 1.342893 1.511648 1.713412
2025-02-02 0.687755 0.831125 1.000350 1.215820 1.484277 1.809540 2.236213
2025-02-09 0.598762 0.758617 0.957531 1.225190 1.578888 2.034376 2.671960
2025-02-16 0.533654 0.702393 0.921541 1.230070 1.658130 2.238234 3.096182
2025-02-23 0.489683 0.666097 0.903881 1.252176 1.756659 2.472161 3.584186
2025-03-02 0.437549 0.611893 0.854368 1.221707 1.773771 2.588166 3.909912
2025-03-09 0.409980 0.588636 0.844652 1.245271 1.869233 2.825674 4.445528
2025-03-16 0.376763 0.553549 0.813622 1.232396 1.905668 2.973740 4.853597
2025-03-23 0.354112 0.531834 0.799935 1.243693 1.979407 3.186272 5.392268
2025-03-30 0.327516 0.501584 0.770114 1.225676 2.002157 3.315114 5.799299
2025-04-06 0.306117 0.477595 0.747831 1.217246 2.038959 3.469825 6.269808
2025-04-13 0.277949 0.440519 0.701399 1.163785 1.991900 3.470877 6.450753
2025-04-20 0.265797 0.429086 0.696748 1.182562 2.076513 3.721935 7.155296
2025-04-27 0.255286 0.419590 0.694573 1.205476 2.171085 4.002479 7.960240
2025-05-04 0.243459 0.406849 0.685622 1.214949 2.240734 4.241878 8.712490
2025-05-11 0.231932 0.393716 0.674831 1.219766 2.301365 4.469341 9.470800
2025-05-18 0.223920 0.386157 0.673292 1.241668 2.397563 4.779497 10.459204
2025-05-25 0.209158 0.365394 0.646117 1.211483 2.384656 4.858557 10.923186
2025-06-01 0.202819 0.359582 0.646150 1.234826 2.485029 5.192577 12.047318
2025-06-08 0.192300 0.345263 0.629059 1.222072 2.507015 5.355053 12.771637
2025-06-15 0.185502 0.337496 0.623914 1.233263 2.581944 5.645818 13.868659
2025-06-22 0.175790 0.323513 0.605665 1.215414 2.590266 5.781893 14.578716
2025-06-29 0.167827 0.312433 0.592402 1.207063 2.619270 5.970480 15.461872